What Ball Placement Means — 69.8 CPOE Under Pressure
Grade
89.0
Process
92.0
Result
86.0
What We See On Film
Pocket Pressure
Ogbah is coming off the edge. Mahomes knows he has one throw before the pocket collapses.
Release Point
Ball comes out a half-second before the hit. Mahomes trusts his arm and his receiver.
Ball Placement
69.8 CPOE. Ball arrives over Brown's outside shoulder at the sideline. Defender has zero play on it. Catch confirmed by replay.
The Full Picture
Q4, 2 minutes left, KC trails by 3. Mahomes fires 20 yards downfield to Marquise Brown along the right sideline while taking a hit from Ogbah. CPOE: 69.8 — only 30% of QBs complete this throw. Ball placement is the difference between a catch and a punt. Watch WHERE the ball arrives: over Brown's outside shoulder, away from the defender, where only the receiver can reach it. The replay official reviewed and confirmed the catch. EPA: +1.93. This is what ball placement looks like under maximum pressure.
What To Look For
CPOE (Completion Percentage Over Expected) measures how much harder the throw was than average. Anything above 50 is elite. Above 70 is generational. Mahomes at 69.8 here means he completed a throw that 70% of NFL QBs would miss.